A Gauge of the Electoral College Totals

I’ve been look­ing for some­thing that will enable me to see, at a glance, just how the com­plex­ion of the US Elec­tion is turn­ing. Is it real­ly, despite what one hears, pre­dom­i­nant­ly Red or Blue? Because the num­ber of del­e­gates in the Elec­toral Col­lege is in no way relat­ed to the size of the states (in land area, that is), sim­ply look­ing at a colour-cod­ed map gives you a skewed view of who’s actu­al­ly ahead, at least at a glance. Rel­a­tive­ly small New York is dwarfed by Mon­tana, even though it has over 10 times the del­e­gates.

The polls only tell you the pop­u­lar vote, and as we all know by now, that is only a par­tial indi­ca­tor of how the Elec­toral Col­lege will go. With so many states ‘in play’ as the news media puts it, pay­ing atten­tion to the Elec­toral Col­lege totals makes more sense.

I was deter­mined to find a view of the Elec­toral Col­lege totals, by state poll, effec­tive­ly giv­ing you an fair­ly effi­cient and under­stand­able view of the cur­rent pre­dic­tions. I found it at vote2008.thetakeaway.org, and here is what it looks like:

You can mouse over areas to get a poll-by-poll pre­dic­tion, but the impor­tant point is that you can see at a glance, the like­li­hood of one can­di­date win­ning over anoth­er.

There’s a small­er ver­sion (with­out the inter­ac­tiv­i­ty, but it is dynam­i­cal­ly updat­ed) as well:

This is an inter­est­ing con­ver­gence of my inter­ests! (pol­i­tics and infor­ma­tion design, that is).

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